By Don Stone, Georgia Football Magazine
I was
originally going to write this column last week, but the
theme remains the same.
Listening to sports talk shows consider the scenarios that must
play out for Georgia to return to the SEC Championship Game,
to be honest, are pretty implausible. I like the optimism,
but, not a lot of realism included. As much as I would love
to see UGA make what would be an astounding comeback, it is
not likely to happen.
Let’s just check the landscape. Putting the other teams
involved on the shelf for a second, the Bulldogs did what
was necessary to keep the conversation going...beat Florida.
That was almost a disaster after jumping ahead 20-3 only to
see the Gators storm back to within a field goal. But, to
their credit, Georgia reversed the damage of the third
quarter and first half of the fourth to hoard the ball for
the final eight minutes of the game and secure the 23-20
win.
That was step one. But, that won’t do it alone. They
still have to beat Kentucky, probably the worst team in the
SEC. No problem there. Then, what looked at the beginning of
the season like an easy victory at Auburn, now looks like
another huge obstacle. The Tigers (yes, the fourth time this
season UGA has played a team named the Tigers) have
flourished under head coach Gus Malzahn and are
currently 8-1, 4-1 SEC and ranked #7 nationally. They have
wins against very good teams in #11 Texas A&M and Ole Miss
but lost handily at LSU.
But, even if the Bulldogs can pull that one off, they
need a of assistance. If you had been told at the start of
the season that they would have victories against South
Carolina, LSU and Florida, you would have thought they’d be
sitting pretty right about now. But, no one saw the injuries
and the losses to Missouri and Vanderbilt. The result is a
4-2 SEC record with a lot of help needed. And it’s help that
probably won’t come.
First of all, Missouri, at 4-1, holds destiny in their
hands, if such a thing is possible. Plain and simple, if
they win out, they’re in. They still have three SEC games
remaining against two tough teams...on the road at Ole
Miss and at home with Texas A&M. Win out is the key phrase
here. Even though they’re on top for now, I don’t think they
win out. I went to Mizzou and would like to see them in the
Georgia Dome if UGA can’t be there, but the Rebels in Oxford
will not be as easy as Tennessee was on Saturday. The real
stumbling block is the Aggies. I just think that game won’t
go Missouri’s way. That leaves the Tigers with a final
record of 5-3 or 6-1. And, even one loss may not cut it
because that one loss was against South Carolina.
That’s the reason I believe the Gamecocks will be SEC
East Champions. Right now, Steve Spurrier’s team sits
at 5-2 after the easy 34-16 win on Saturday against
Mississippi State. Three things give them the edge. First,
they only have one more chance to lose an SEC game with only
3-3 Florida remaining. Second, all three games left on their
schedule are at home. And, third, they hold the tie breaker
over Mizzou due to their 27-24 double overtime win on
October 26. That missed field goal had huge ramifications.
Since they hold the tie breaker, if the Tigers lose just one
(Texas A&M) and the Gamecocks win their Gators game, that
puts both at 6-1 and tied. Game, set, match for Carolina.
So, for Georgia to get in, they have to win at Auburn
and have Missouri beat Ole Miss and Texas A&M and South
Carolina lose to Florida at home. Stranger things have
happened, and this season has certainly qualified as
strange. But, even though commentators are saying that the
Tigers hold the advantage, its actually the Gamecocks who
do. Expect Alabama vs South Carolina in the Georgia Dome on
December 7.